Dow Average Mid-Term Election Year





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Today’s chart takes a look at the average mid-term election year.

As today’s chart illustrates, the Dow tends to struggle from mid-April into late September during the average mid-term election year (orange line).

Since mid-April (not before), the general direction of the 2022 Dow (blue line) has been similar to the average (albeit more volatile).

If the Dow were to continue to follow the path of the average mid-term year, the expectation would be for a choppy market into late September followed by a year-end rally.

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Dow Average Mid-Term Election Year vs Average Year (1900-2021)