|With the 2016 presidential election less than one week away,, today's chart illustrates how the stock market has performed during the average election year. Since 1900, the first five months of the election year have tended to be choppy. That choppiness was then followed with a rally right up to the November election. One theory to support this election year stock market behavior is that the first five months of choppiness is due in part to the uncertainty of the outcome of the presidential election (the market abhors uncertainty) with the market beginning to rally as the outcome of the election becomes increasingly evident. While stocks tend to rally this close to election day, recent uncertainty as to the outcome has resulted in somewhat of a sell-off.Notes:
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Quote of the Day"Ninety-eight percent of the adults in this country are decent, hard-working, honest Americans. It's the other lousy two percent that gets all the publicity. But then, we elected them." - Lilly Tomlin
Events of the DayNovember 04, 2016 - Breeders' Cup (ends November 5th)
November 06, 2016 - Daylight Saving Time ends (US) - New York Marathon
November 11, 2016 - Veterans Day
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