|In terms of the presidential cycle, the market is fast approaching what has historically been the most difficult leg of the four-year cycle. Early in a new presidential term and with the next election several years away, the powers that be tend to be more willing to address (or at least consider the possibility of negotiating about) such quaint topics as fiscal responsibility and budget deficits. The downside to this 'belt tightening' is that it can be a drag on the economy. Today's chart illustrates how the market has performed following a presidential election year high (plus or minus one quarter) until the following mid-term year low. In short, the market has tended to struggle significantly from an election-year peak to mid-term year low with a few exceptions (e.g. the run-up prior to the 1987 crash, the tail-end of the dot-com boom and during the post-financial crisis rally).Notes:
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Quote of the Day"Everything is changing. People are taking their comedians seriously and the politicians as a joke." - Will Rogers
Events of the DayJanuary 10, 2016 - Golden Globe Awards
January 11, 2016 - CFP Championship Game
January 18, 2016 - Martin Luther King Jr. Day (observed) - Australian Open Tennis Tournament begins (ends Jan. 31st)
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