|Today's chart illustrates rallies that followed massive bear markets. For today's chart, a 'massive' bear market is defined as a decline of greater than 50%. Since the Dow's inception in 1896, there have been only three bear markets whereby the Dow declined more than 50% (early 1930s, late 1930s until early 1940s, and during the recent financial crisis). Today's chart also adds the rally that followed the dot-com bust during which the Nasdaq declined 78%. The current Dow rally has followed the post dot-com bust rally of the Nasdaq that began back in 2002 fairly closely and held to a general post-massive bear market rally pattern -- rally during the first 300 trading days, trade in a relatively flat choppy manner up until around 600 trading days and then re-embark on the second leg of the rally. It is worth noting that for the post-massive bear market rallies that began in 1942 and 2002, a major correction began after 1,200 to 1,300 trading days had passed. The post-financial crisis rally is currently over 1,300 trading days old.Notes:
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Quote of the Day"History is a vast early warning system." - Norman Cousins
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July 01, 2014 - Canada Day
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